DASHBOARD
OverviewInvestigateConnection

Investigation Tree

Moriarty Enterprises fraud investigation. Expand nodes to trace the reasoning.

Legend:
Question
Subject
Claim
Evidence
Refutes
Contested

Accepts Holmes, Watson, Adler, Lestrade, and press reports. Rejects Moriarty's denials. Holmes's claims attack Moriarty's via direct contradiction. Adler's insider testimony supports Holmes's Ponzi finding.

ACCEPTED: c1, c2, c3, c5, c6, c8, c9, c10, c11
REJECTED: c4, c7

Accepts Moriarty's denials and Lestrade's neutral 'under investigation' status. Rejects Holmes and Adler. This interpretation survives formally but has far lower aggregate credibility.

ACCEPTED: c3, c4, c7, c8, c9, c10, c11
REJECTED: c1, c2, c5, c6

Source Summary

SourceTypeReliabilityClaimsRole
Sherlock HolmesExpert0.922Private consulting detective. Deep forensic analysis of financial records.
Dr. John WatsonJournalist0.751Medical doctor and chronicler. Accompanied Holmes during the ledger review.
Inspector LestradeRegulator0.802Scotland Yard inspector. Represents the official regulatory inquiry.
Irene AdlerInsider0.651Former portfolio manager at the Reichenbach Fund. Terminated, claims whistleblower status.
Prof. James MoriartyInstitutional0.302CEO of Moriarty Enterprises. The subject of the investigation. Reliability rated low due to conflict of interest.
The Times of LondonJournalist0.701London's paper of record. Holmes's preferred broadsheet. Reporting based on City sources.
The Daily TelegraphJournalist0.652National broadsheet. Independent investigative reporting on investor withdrawal failures.

Conflict Map

c1c4Holmes claims revenue fabricated; Moriarty claims revenue legitimate
c5c7Adler claims fund insolvent; Moriarty claims fund solvent
c6c7Holmes claims Ponzi scheme; Moriarty claims fund solvent

Interpretations

Interpretation 1Dominant

Accepts Holmes, Watson, Adler, Lestrade, and press reports. Rejects Moriarty's denials. Holmes's claims attack Moriarty's via direct contradiction. Adler's insider testimony supports Holmes's Ponzi finding.

Accepted: c1, c2, c3, c5, c6, c8, c9, c10, c11
Rejected: c4, c7
Interpretation 2Weak

Accepts Moriarty's denials and Lestrade's neutral 'under investigation' status. Rejects Holmes and Adler. This interpretation survives formally but has far lower aggregate credibility.

Accepted: c3, c4, c7, c8, c9, c10, c11
Rejected: c1, c2, c5, c6